The Kalman filter was orginally developed to estimate time-varying quantities (state variables) from a set of noisy measurements (signals). The set of state variables is usually represented by a vector denoted as . For example, we could define the state of a satellite to be its position in Cartesian coordinates relative to the center of the earth. In this case, the state vector would look like the following:
where the (x y z) triplet represents the time-varying coordinates of the satellite's position (note the distinction between , the state vector, and x, the x-component of the state vector). In general, it is not possible to determine through direct measurements the precise state of such a system. Instead, we must rely on measurements that provide information about the state variables. In this example, we may have to rely on external radar signals or telemetry signals sent by the satellite itself. In other words, we must infer the state of the system based on the set of measurements we have about the system. In an ideal world, the state of the system can be determined precisely given an appropriate set of measurements. In practice, this is difficult because these measurements are corrupted by noise. In this example, if we had an onboard instrument that could measure the satellite's (x,y,z) coordinates in Cartesian using a gyroscopic system, the relationship between the state vector and the measurement vector can be written as
where is the measured position vector and is the noise vector associated with the measurement. The matrix H is referred to as the transfer function because it transfers the input, which is the actual state, to the output, which is the set of measurements. Equation expresses the measurement vector as a function of the state vector. What we really need is the state vector expressed as a function of the measurement vector. If we know the value of , this would reduce to a simple matrix inversion ( ). However, the addition of the unknown term implies that we can no longer determine precisely. Instead, we must find an estimate of based on our knowledge of how the state variables are correlated to one another, and on the prior distribution of . A Kalman filter is a function that provides an optimal estimate of the state vector x given such knowledge. This is an example of a linear dynamic system because the input and output are described by a linear equation.